Banknifty analysis for 4 dec 2025
Bank Nifty Intraday Analysis & Trade Plan
3rd December 2025,
Bank Nifty Spot: 59,348.25 (+74.45 | +0.13%)
Expiry: 30-Dec-2025 (28 DTE)
PCR (OI): 0.97 (Neutral to mildly bearish)
Total OI: 2.67 Cr (+0.30% net addition)
ATM IV: 10.35% (very low → range-bound expected)
Max Pain: ≈59,600
Key Levels from OI + Chart (High-Probability Zones)
Level
Price
Strength
Reason
Strong Support
59,000–59,300
★★★★★
Highest Put OI wall (59,400–59,600 PE), lower Bollinger, volume shelf
Immediate Support
59,320–59,350
★★★★
Today’s pivot + VWAP zone
Immediate Resistance
59,500–59,550
★★★★
ATM strikes + 61.8% retracement
Strong Resistance
59,600–59,700
★★★★★
Massive Call writing (59,700–59,900 CE) + chart rejection zone
Today’s Candlestick Story
Strong Bullish Engulfing candle on 3rd Dec
Touched lower Bollinger Band → sharp reversal
Volume spike on green candle → genuine buying
Upper shadows repeatedly rejected at ~59,600
→ Classic “support-held + reversal candle” setup
Highest-Probability Intraday Trades for 4th Dec
Trade 1 – Bullish (Recommended – 70%+ probability)
Buy the Dip (Long)
Entry Zone: 59,300–59,340 (pullback or gap-up open retest)
Targets: 59,480 → 59,550 → 59,650 (trail)
Stop Loss: 59,240 (below today’s low & support zone)
Best Instrument: Bank Nifty Futures or 4-Dec 59400 CE (low premium, high delta)
R:R = 1:2.5+
Trade 2 – Bearish (Only if opens weak)
Sell the Rally (Short)
Entry Zone: 59,580–59,620 (rejection at resistance)
Targets: 59,450 → 59,350
Stop Loss: 59,680
Best Instrument: 59600 PE
Safe Strategy: Wait for first 15-min range, then trade breakout or breakdown of the range with the above levels as final targets/SL.
Social Media Sentiment (X/Twitter – Real-time scan)
60% Bullish (“sharp recovery”, “private banks holding”, “Yes Bank boost”)
30% Neutral (“wait & watch”, “range-bound”)
10% Bearish (“PSU drag”, “profit booking”)
Overall sentiment flipped positive after today’s close. DIIs bought ₹4,646 Cr vs FII selling → supports bounce continuation.
Final Verdict
Bank Nifty is likely to open flat-to-positive and grind higher toward 59,550–59,650 tomorrow unless it breaks and sustains below 59,240.
Best risk-reward is clearly on the long side near 59,300–59,340 zone.
Trade the plan, not the noise.
See you at the opening bell! π
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