Banknifty analysis 29 dec 2025

Bank Nifty Intraday Analysis (1-Hour Chart + Options OI) – Range With Bearish Bias

Index: Bank Nifty

Timeframe: 1 Hour

Expiry: Weekly

Method Used: Pure Price Action + Options Chain OI

Indicators: ❌ None

📌 Market Overview

Bank Nifty is currently trading near 59000, showing range-bound behavior with bearish pressure. Despite multiple attempts, price has failed to sustain above key resistance zones, indicating option writers’ dominance and lack of aggressive buying interest.

1️⃣ Market Structure (Pure Price Action)

Current Structure:

➡️ Range-bound with Bearish Bias

Observations:

Multiple rejections near 59500–59600, forming a clear supply zone

Formation of lower highs after each bounce

Price trading below the range midpoint

No strong bullish continuation candles visible

📉 This indicates distribution, not accumulation.


2️⃣ Key Support & Resistance Levels

🔴 Resistance Zones (Supply)

From Chart + Call OI

59500–59600 → Major swing high + highest Call OI

59180–59200 → Range midpoint + failed retest

59050–59000 → Psychological & intraday supply

🟢 Support Zones (Demand)

From Chart + Put OI

59000–58900 → Highest Put OI concentration

58700–58680 → Range low + strong historical bounce

58350–58400 → Extreme downside support (only if panic selling


3️⃣ Options Chain OI Analysis

📊 Call OI (Resistance)

59000 CE → Heavy OI buildup

59500 CE → Highest Call OI

➡️ Strong Call Writing, upside capped

📊 Put OI (Support)

59000 PE → Highest Put OI

58900 PE → Active Put writing

➡️ Support present but not aggressive long buildup

⚠️ Near ATM, Call writers are stronger than Put buyers



4️⃣ Strong Zones Based on OI Behavior

🔐 Strong Resistance

59100–59200

59500–59600

🧱 Strong Support

58900–59000

58700


5️⃣ Intraday Bias (Probability-Based)

Bearish: 45%

Sideways: 40%

Bullish: 15%

📌 Bias remains negative unless price sustains above 59220.


6️⃣ Best Intraday Trade Setup

✅ Preferred Trade: BUY PUT (Breakdown Trade)

Condition:

15-min / 1-hour close below 58950

Trade Plan:

Instrument: 58900 PE / 58800 PE

Entry: Below 58950

Stop-Loss: 59040

Target 1: 58820

Target 2: 58680


📉 Reason:

Demand breakdown

Put writers start unwinding

Call writers gain control

⚠️ Alternate Trade (Only on Breakout)

Buy Call only if:

Strong close above 59220

Setup:

Buy: 59200 CE

SL: 59130

Targets: 59350 / 59500

❌ Avoid blind CE buying near 59000.


7️⃣ Retail Trader Positioning – Trap or Control?

Retail traders are currently TRAPPED

Why?

CE buyers trapped near 59000 expecting bounce

Late PE buyers stuck as support holds

Smart money is selling both sides, keeping price inside a range

➡️ Classic option writer range trap


8️⃣ Option Writing & Short Covering Zones

✍️ Option Writing Zones

Call Writing: 59100–59500

Put Writing: 58700–58900

🔥 Short Covering Zones

Above 59220: Call short covering → sharp upside move

Below 58880: Put short covering → fast downside move


9️⃣ Scalping Setup (10–20 Points)

⚡ Bearish Scalping (Preferred)

Sell near: 59080–59120

SL: 59160

Target: 59020 → 58990

Instrument: ATM PE

⚡ Bullish Scalping (Counter-Trend)

Buy near: 58900 demand

SL: 58860

Target: 58960–58980

(Only on clear rejection candle)

🔑 Conclusion

Market structure favors range with bearish tilt

Option writers in control

Best opportunity lies in breakdown trades

Avoid emotional trades near ATM levels

Trade with levels, not opinions.

⚠️ Disclaimer

This analysis is for educational purposes only. Options trading involves risk. Always trade with proper risk management and consult your financial advisor before taking any position.

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